往期Archive · 2022
探讨中美关系On China–US Relations
On China–US Relations探讨中美关系
本次分享将以《Destined for War》和《the Avoidable War》两本书的对比分析阅读，来了解怎样用不同的角度看待中美关系，以及探讨之后可能的走向 * 一些分享涉及的问题： * 什么是修昔底德陷阱？历史宿命论是正确的么？ * 中美关系在过去的一百年是怎样变化的？ * 中美关系的核心问题在哪里？ * 中美合作的难题？ * 未来有哪些可能性？ * 剖析中美长期的竞争关系，中美脱钩是否是无法避免的长期趋势？ * 脱钩对科技，金融等产业的影响？ * 本次希望讨论的问题： * 中美关系会在生活的哪些方面造成影响？ * 我们该如何看待中美关系？ * 疫情对中美关系有什么样的影响？ * 从就业角度来说，中长期哪些产业会受到中美关系的影响？ * 大家对中美长期关系有什么期待？在未来可以做些什么？ * 相关资料： * Graham Allison《Destined for War》 * Kevin Rudd《the Avoidable War》 * Henry Kissinger《On China》 * Richard Evans《DengXiaoPing and The Making of Modern China》
This session compares Destined for War and The Avoidable War, reading them side by side to understand how China–US relations can be seen from different angles, and to explore where they may go from here. * Some questions the talk will cover: * What is the Thucydides Trap? Is historical fatalism correct? * How have China–US relations changed over the past hundred years? * What are the core issues in China–US relations? * What makes China–US cooperation difficult? * What possibilities lie ahead? * Analysing the long-term rivalry between China and the US: is decoupling an unavoidable long-term trend? * How would decoupling affect technology, finance and other industries? * Questions we hope to discuss this time: * In what areas of our lives will China–US relations have an effect? * How should we view China–US relations? * How has the pandemic affected China–US relations? * From an employment perspective, which industries will be affected by China–US relations in the medium to long term? * What do you expect of long-term China–US relations? What can we do in the future? * Related reading: * Graham Allison, Destined for War * Kevin Rudd, The Avoidable War * Henry Kissinger, On China * Richard Evans, Deng Xiaoping and the Making of Modern China